Why lockdowns are the wrong policy - Swedish expert Prof. Johan Giesecke
That was one of the more extraordinary interviews we have done here at
UnHerd.
Professor Johan Giesecke, one of the world’s most senior
epidemiologists, advisor to the Swedish Government (he hired Anders
Tegnell who is currently directing Swedish strategy), the first Chief
Scientist of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, and
an advisor to the director general of the WHO, lays out with typically
Swedish bluntness why he thinks:
- UK policy on lockdown and other European countries are not
evidence-based
- The correct policy is to protect the old and the frail only
- This will eventually lead to herd immunity as a “by-product”
- The initial UK response, before the “180 degree U-turn”, was better
- The Imperial College paper was “not very good” and he has never seen
an unpublished paper have so much policy impact
- The paper was very much too pessimistic
- Any such models are a dubious basis for public policy anyway
- The flattening of the curve is due to the most vulnerable dying first
as much as the lockdown
- The results will eventually be similar for all countries
- Covid-19 is a “mild disease” and similar to the flu, and it was the
novelty of the disease that scared people.
- The actual fatality rate of Covid-19 is the region of 0.1%
- At least 50% of the population of both the UK and Sweden will be shown
to have already had the disease when mass antibody testing becomes
available